A faster recovery
Existing Investors
As real estate markets of Europe are almost all at bottom of cycle, investors and funds are forced to take a long view. Too often, this amounts to inactivity. Internos founders’ cross-border experience of the last major downturn in the early nineties strongly suggests that a proactive attitude can lead to measurable gains in value or income now, and much better outcomes at realisation. Key aspects of this:
- the most likely route to short-term asset outperformance lies in advanced and rigorous debt renegotiation. Here, Internos brings cross-border sophistication and a Europe-wide set of high-level contacts. The recent appointment of Mark Cole to the team shows the importance we attach to real estate financing
- value is created by consolidating minority interests, simplifying capital structure, liberating management and incentivising to deliver value
- a strongly proactive and informed stance to cost reduction comes from Europe-wide operating experience applied to deep-seated national habits
New investors: a return of opportunity
For new investors, there is clear return of opportunity. Few now doubt that the extreme shortage of liquidity that started in 2008, is delivering bottom-of-cycle and distress or rescue opportunities for real estate investors in Europe. In this scenario, Internos adds to the timing advantages of not being a legacy manager two important points of difference: strategy and management of opportunities.
Timing
- For new investors, Internos can take full advantage of over-supply in construction with a hugely beneficial effect on cost and speed of delivery. The gap between prime and secondary commercial real estate has widened across Europe. Refurbishment opportunities are now clear and measurable
- Public to private conversion opportunities of midcap listed companies are arising throughout Europe as share prices fall below NAV
- Mezzanine finance, absent in 2005-07, became dramatically relevant when bank overlending flip-flopped to underlending in 2008. 'Recap/revite' opportunities arise: as marginal lending dries up and projects poised to launch are stopped at the final hurdle
Counter-cyclical strategic shifts
Despite timing opportunities, Internos is just as much intent on working within the trend of longterm shifts in European attitudes, demographics and law:
- As energy costs soar and legal pressure intensifies, low-carbon buildings cease to be image plays. They become an absolute corporate need. The value of an energy farm tracks the price of a barrel of oil
- In most of Europe, cities are restricted but urbanisation intensifies. New asset classes such as self-storage expand even in recession. Change of use, e.g. from out-of-date offices to apartments, makes economic sense nearly everywhere
- An ageing population creates escalating demand for senior housing
- On a micro scale: not just in London and Stockholm, politicians are discovering road pricing; in a local recession, there will be new Bilbaos and Bluewaters with rewards for fast-acting and knowledgeable investors. Internos is a keen student of the zonal effect on rents.
Management of opportunities
To take full advantage of 2010-11 opportunities, the Internos approach encompasses three key attitudes and attributes:
- A preference and track-record for backing talented and committed local teams willing to share risk
- A belief that speed of decision can be vital to financial performance
- But only if backed by one of Europe's most experienced investment committees.

